Auburn vs. West Virginia odds
Auburn He gained 5 straight SEC video games and was main going into Wednesday’s dwelling sport with Texas A&M. The Aggies hit the Tigers early, although, exposing some actual flaws in Auburn’s protection in a 79-63 victory on the highway.
The Tigers might be trying to bounce again, once they come out of convention play SEC/Large 12 Problem A highway journey to Morgantown to do West Virginia.
It was a nightmare in convention play for Bob Huggins’ Mountaineers, who began the league 0-5 with three downs on one possession or in extra time.
They hit a decisive dwelling win at TCU after which a Quadrant I victory on the highway Wednesday evening at Texas Tech.
Like Texas A&M, West Virginia is definitely lots like Auburn on the offensive finish. Each like to assault the sting of the ramp, get to the free throw line and pull off offensive rebounds.
However the distinction on this sport needs to be on the defensive facet, as Auburn confirmed indicators of slipping on Wednesday. I believe the Tigers will proceed to do that Saturday on the highway.
Auburn’s lack of ability to shoot from the perimeter has been a significant annoyance for Bruce Pearl this season.
The Tigers have hit simply 29.4% from 3 this season and 28.3% in SEC play. Each are among the many worst in your complete nation and convention.
ShotQuality knowledge and the taking pictures historical past of gamers in flip counsel they’re most likely a greater pair total, however not by a lot.
They’re ranked 316 in Open 3 common, so it is not just like the Tigers get a bunch of unguarded jumpers and do not make it. It is a whole lot of robust, contested seems from common shooters.
Not having the ability to shoot means they need to go down a ramp or give you a transition to attain. They run a whole lot of catches, a whole lot of slicing work and attempt to run when attainable.
The Mountaineers vary properly in transitional protection and do a stable job guarding the ball screens.
The place Auburn can discover offensive success is with its sporadic motion. The Mountaineers play a really aggressive model of half-court protection that prioritizes promoting over turnover and danger to ship the opponent.
The Tigers have a tendency to show the ball over steadily, although, and West Virginia does a greater job of rim safety than many groups at Auburn see within the SEC. The Mountaineers have the 50 greatest protection in shut photographs, in keeping with Haslametrics.
Until Auburn can reside on the free throw line and get a good whistle in Morgantown – the Mountaineers make a whole lot of errors – it is exhausting to see Auburn get humiliated at half court docket right here.
Auburn has the second-best three-point taking pictures protection within the nation and within the SEC. It is confronted a whole lot of groups that did not have shooters and did not hit open photographs when launched this season, and it created an exaggerated notion of him as a collegiate protection.
Groups shoot simply 29.8% in opposition to Auburn on unguarded jumpers, per Synergy. This makes the Tigers a really lucky protection.
West Virginia has an above-average perimeter offense, and it is lastly time for Auburn’s protection to fall again on the surface. Texas A&M made 7 of 16 from deep on Wednesday, and the Aggies do not characteristic offense that releases the ball a lot from the perimeter.
The Mountaineers solely make 32.7% from past the 3-point arc on unguarded jumpers and need to give you a transition to create a greater look as a result of their half-court offense is missing at instances.
West Virginia also needs to have the ability to hit the road at will attributable to Auburn’s low error charge.
It’s important to anticipate a whole lot of whistles on this sport, and I at all times desire to help the house group in a detailed sport when administration is meant to play an even bigger function than common.
auburn vs. West Virginia Guess Beck
Auburn was drastically downgraded after a double-digit dwelling loss to Texas A&M, and that took away among the worth right here.
The market is now mainly saying Auburn and West Virginia are two groups, whereas earlier than Wednesday that wasn’t the case.
I do not assume Auburn has fallen low sufficient in its defense-related metrics but, and extra decline is on the horizon.
The Mountaineers have misplaced a bunch of Large 12 heartbreakers, however they nonetheless wrestle in Morgantown.
Get the most effective group at dwelling at probably the greatest dwelling gyms within the nation. As well as, you should not have to place greater than 4 factors.
West Virginia preferred to level out that Auburn’s dwelling loss to Texas A&M indicated greater than only a flashback.
The Mountaineers are higher than their report and are undervalued as they arrive off a grueling Large 12 schedule.
I’d play WVU at -4 or higher.
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