Our information Jones Nostril takes on the primary Premier League matches of 2023…
The Tottenham and Aston Villa match, on New Yr’s Day at midday, broadcast reside on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 to win £250,000!
Tottenham are at all times one defeat away from an all-out disaster – one would possibly come right here.
I am a agency believer in Antonio Conte’s strategies, however his contract scenario, amid reviews of ongoing negotiations, elevated his aspect’s pesky depth early in matches will bother them sooner or later.
And when evaluating match costs right here, the market is very skewed in favor of Tottenham, who’re very slim at 8/13 with Sky Guess to beat Aston Villa who’re bettering.
Conte’s males have conceded first in every of their final 9 matches in all competitions, dropping 2-0 in six of them. It is a dependable physique of knowledge pointing to severe flaws in the way in which Tottenham deal with matches.
Finally, a nimble, clever aspect with good defensive intelligence will make Spurs pay the worth. Villa could possibly be that crew below Unai Emery and he has proven actually constructive indicators together with his performances towards Manchester United, Brighton and Liverpool. Emery’s aspect deservedly beat United and Brighton when assessed on efficiency knowledge and created a wholesome anticipated objectives variety of 1.44 towards Liverpool in a match the place conceding first for Jurgen Klopp’s aspect is not ultimate from a state of the sport perspective.
There are lots of methods to make Aston Villa subsequent to your cash. Conserving it easy and supporting them to keep away from defeat at 5/4 with Sky Guess standing out as the principle recreation, however Villa scoring first at 15/8 and Villa profitable at half-time at 4/1 can be price contemplating.
Predict the rating: 1-2 | Jones is aware of your greatest guess: Aston Villa win or draw (5/4 with Sky Guess – guess right here!)
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea, 4.30pm, New Yr’s Day, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 to win £250,000!
Match costs look proper to me, with Chelsea prone to get the job achieved at odds with that additional high quality within the last third, particularly with Morgan Gibbs-White lacking out to the hosts, however Forest will dig in and create issues for London at numerous factors.
One space that is likely to be fertile for them is ready items.
I believed Chelsea regarded shaky when defending the penalty space below strain from corners and free-kicks towards Bournemouth, with Cherries creating 0.29 of the anticipated objectives from set-pieces with Lloyd Kelly and Dominic Solanke each lacking from shut vary. Since Graham Potter took over, Chelsea’s total defensive metrics from set-pieces have begun to plummet. They shipped 33 pictures from such eventualities to a predicted objectives again of three.18 — solely six groups had worse manufacturing than the day Potter took over.
With that in thoughts, it is positively price trying on the coronary heart of Forest’s protection for risk.
Since Joe Worrall and Willy Boley have been paired collectively 4 video games in the past, they’ve had eight pictures between them and that is not together with Boley’s disallowed aim towards Manchester United.
Worrall is 13/8 with Sky Guess and Boly is 2/1 to have at the least one shot within the participant pictures market. These two costs sound nice – and I would again a suggestion of 4/5 for both of them for at the least one probability towards Chelsea as a part of the deal 1/3 New Yr’s Eve double.